NFL 2026 Predictions
Expected Wins Ranking
| team | wins_mean | wins_std | wins_p05 | wins_p50 | wins_p95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 12.21 | 1.82 | 9.00 | 12.00 | 15.00 |
| BAL | 11.12 | 1.91 | 8.00 | 11.00 | 14.00 |
| PHI | 10.87 | 1.94 | 8.00 | 11.00 | 14.00 |
| KC | 10.77 | 1.91 | 8.00 | 11.00 | 14.00 |
| TB | 10.48 | 1.96 | 7.00 | 11.00 | 14.00 |
| GB | 10.37 | 1.93 | 7.00 | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| SF | 10.21 | 1.95 | 7.00 | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| SEA | 10.01 | 1.98 | 7.00 | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| DAL | 9.59 | 1.99 | 6.00 | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| NO | 9.51 | 2.01 | 6.00 | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| DET | 9.29 | 1.98 | 6.00 | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| LA | 9.25 | 2.00 | 6.00 | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| IND | 8.87 | 2.00 | 6.00 | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| CIN | 8.83 | 2.03 | 5.00 | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| MIN | 8.62 | 1.96 | 5.00 | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| NE | 8.56 | 1.98 | 5.00 | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| PIT | 8.31 | 2.00 | 5.00 | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| MIA | 8.28 | 1.97 | 5.00 | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| DEN | 8.19 | 2.03 | 5.00 | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| LAC | 8.08 | 1.94 | 5.00 | 8.00 | 11.00 |
| CLE | 7.59 | 1.98 | 4.00 | 8.00 | 11.00 |
| HOU | 7.48 | 1.99 | 4.00 | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| JAX | 7.45 | 1.99 | 4.00 | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| TEN | 7.44 | 1.99 | 4.00 | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| WAS | 7.24 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| ARI | 7.23 | 1.94 | 4.00 | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| CHI | 7.01 | 1.99 | 4.00 | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| ATL | 6.95 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| LV | 6.08 | 1.97 | 3.00 | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| NYG | 5.84 | 1.92 | 3.00 | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| CAR | 5.46 | 1.89 | 2.00 | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| NYJ | 4.79 | 1.85 | 2.00 | 5.00 | 8.00 |
Expected Results by Week
| game_id | season | week | home_team | away_team | prob_home_win | prob_away_win | predicted_winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026_01_ARI_LAC | 2026 | 1 | LAC | ARI | 0.640 | 0.360 | LAC |
| 2026_01_ATL_PIT | 2026 | 1 | PIT | ATL | 0.646 | 0.354 | PIT |
| 2026_01_BAL_IND | 2026 | 1 | IND | BAL | 0.426 | 0.574 | BAL |
| 2026_01_BUF_HOU | 2026 | 1 | HOU | BUF | 0.286 | 0.714 | BUF |
| 2026_01_CHI_CAR | 2026 | 1 | CAR | CHI | 0.481 | 0.519 | CHI |
| 2026_01_CLE_JAX | 2026 | 1 | JAX | CLE | 0.568 | 0.432 | JAX |
| 2026_01_DAL_NYG | 2026 | 1 | NYG | DAL | 0.343 | 0.657 | DAL |
| 2026_01_DEN_KC | 2026 | 1 | KC | DEN | 0.715 | 0.285 | KC |
| 2026_01_GB_MIN | 2026 | 1 | MIN | GB | 0.466 | 0.534 | GB |
| 2026_01_MIA_LV | 2026 | 1 | LV | MIA | 0.438 | 0.562 | MIA |
| 2026_01_NE_SEA | 2026 | 1 | SEA | NE | 0.637 | 0.363 | SEA |
| 2026_01_NO_DET | 2026 | 1 | DET | NO | 0.571 | 0.429 | DET |
| 2026_01_NYJ_TEN | 2026 | 1 | TEN | NYJ | 0.683 | 0.317 | TEN |
| 2026_01_SF_LA | 2026 | 1 | LA | SF | 0.540 | 0.460 | LA |
| 2026_01_TB_CIN | 2026 | 1 | CIN | TB | 0.476 | 0.524 | TB |
| 2026_01_WAS_PHI | 2026 | 1 | PHI | WAS | 0.741 | 0.259 | PHI |
| 2026_02_CAR_ATL | 2026 | 2 | ATL | CAR | 0.649 | 0.351 | ATL |
| 2026_02_CIN_HOU | 2026 | 2 | HOU | CIN | 0.496 | 0.504 | CIN |
| 2026_02_CLE_TB | 2026 | 2 | TB | CLE | 0.743 | 0.257 | TB |
| 2026_02_DET_BUF | 2026 | 2 | BUF | DET | 0.758 | 0.242 | BUF |
| 2026_02_GB_NYJ | 2026 | 2 | NYJ | GB | 0.270 | 0.730 | GB |
| 2026_02_IND_KC | 2026 | 2 | KC | IND | 0.699 | 0.301 | KC |
| 2026_02_JAX_DEN | 2026 | 2 | DEN | JAX | 0.635 | 0.364 | DEN |
| 2026_02_LV_LAC | 2026 | 2 | LAC | LV | 0.695 | 0.305 | LAC |
| 2026_02_MIA_SF | 2026 | 2 | SF | MIA | 0.660 | 0.340 | SF |
| 2026_02_MIN_CHI | 2026 | 2 | CHI | MIN | 0.486 | 0.513 | MIN |
| 2026_02_NO_BAL | 2026 | 2 | BAL | NO | 0.684 | 0.316 | BAL |
| 2026_02_NYG_LA | 2026 | 2 | LA | NYG | 0.782 | 0.218 | LA |
| 2026_02_PHI_TEN | 2026 | 2 | TEN | PHI | 0.373 | 0.627 | PHI |
| 2026_02_PIT_NE | 2026 | 2 | NE | PIT | 0.600 | 0.400 | NE |
| 2026_02_SEA_ARI | 2026 | 2 | ARI | SEA | 0.423 | 0.577 | SEA |
| 2026_02_WAS_DAL | 2026 | 2 | DAL | WAS | 0.706 | 0.294 | DAL |
| 2026_03_ARI_SF | 2026 | 3 | SF | ARI | 0.724 | 0.276 | SF |
| 2026_03_ATL_GB | 2026 | 3 | GB | ATL | 0.753 | 0.247 | GB |
| 2026_03_BAL_DAL | 2026 | 3 | DAL | BAL | 0.478 | 0.521 | BAL |
| 2026_03_CAR_CLE | 2026 | 3 | CLE | CAR | 0.653 | 0.347 | CLE |
| 2026_03_CIN_PIT | 2026 | 3 | PIT | CIN | 0.539 | 0.461 | PIT |
| 2026_03_HOU_IND | 2026 | 3 | IND | HOU | 0.634 | 0.366 | IND |
| 2026_03_KC_MIA | 2026 | 3 | MIA | KC | 0.439 | 0.561 | KC |
| 2026_03_LAC_BUF | 2026 | 3 | BUF | LAC | 0.776 | 0.224 | BUF |
| 2026_03_LA_DEN | 2026 | 3 | DEN | LA | 0.472 | 0.528 | LA |
| 2026_03_LV_NO | 2026 | 3 | NO | LV | 0.706 | 0.294 | NO |
| 2026_03_MIN_TB | 2026 | 3 | TB | MIN | 0.666 | 0.334 | TB |
| 2026_03_NE_JAX | 2026 | 3 | JAX | NE | 0.477 | 0.523 | NE |
| 2026_03_NYJ_DET | 2026 | 3 | DET | NYJ | 0.788 | 0.212 | DET |
| 2026_03_PHI_CHI | 2026 | 3 | CHI | PHI | 0.391 | 0.609 | PHI |
| 2026_03_SEA_WAS | 2026 | 3 | WAS | SEA | 0.399 | 0.601 | SEA |
| 2026_03_TEN_NYG | 2026 | 3 | NYG | TEN | 0.504 | 0.496 | NYG |
| 2026_04_ARI_NYG | 2026 | 4 | NYG | ARI | 0.480 | 0.520 | ARI |
| 2026_04_ATL_NO | 2026 | 4 | NO | ATL | 0.675 | 0.325 | NO |
| 2026_04_DAL_HOU | 2026 | 4 | HOU | DAL | 0.448 | 0.552 | DAL |
| 2026_04_DEN_SF | 2026 | 4 | SF | DEN | 0.684 | 0.316 | SF |
| 2026_04_DET_CAR | 2026 | 4 | CAR | DET | 0.374 | 0.626 | DET |
| 2026_04_GB_TB | 2026 | 4 | TB | GB | 0.574 | 0.426 | TB |
| 2026_04_IND_WAS | 2026 | 4 | WAS | IND | 0.490 | 0.510 | IND |
| 2026_04_JAX_CIN | 2026 | 4 | CIN | JAX | 0.667 | 0.333 | CIN |
| 2026_04_KC_LV | 2026 | 4 | LV | KC | 0.309 | 0.691 | KC |
| 2026_04_LAC_SEA | 2026 | 4 | SEA | LAC | 0.645 | 0.355 | SEA |
| 2026_04_LA_PHI | 2026 | 4 | PHI | LA | 0.603 | 0.397 | PHI |
| 2026_04_MIA_MIN | 2026 | 4 | MIN | MIA | 0.576 | 0.424 | MIN |
| 2026_04_NE_BUF | 2026 | 4 | BUF | NE | 0.770 | 0.230 | BUF |
| 2026_04_NYJ_CHI | 2026 | 4 | CHI | NYJ | 0.702 | 0.298 | CHI |
| 2026_04_PIT_CLE | 2026 | 4 | CLE | PIT | 0.498 | 0.502 | PIT |
| 2026_04_TEN_BAL | 2026 | 4 | BAL | TEN | 0.795 | 0.204 | BAL |
| 2026_05_BAL_ATL | 2026 | 5 | ATL | BAL | 0.347 | 0.653 | BAL |
| 2026_05_BUF_LA | 2026 | 5 | LA | BUF | 0.411 | 0.589 | BUF |
| 2026_05_CHI_GB | 2026 | 5 | GB | CHI | 0.736 | 0.264 | GB |
| 2026_05_CIN_MIA | 2026 | 5 | MIA | CIN | 0.564 | 0.436 | MIA |
| 2026_05_CLE_NYJ | 2026 | 5 | NYJ | CLE | 0.447 | 0.553 | CLE |
| 2026_05_DEN_LAC | 2026 | 5 | LAC | DEN | 0.583 | 0.417 | LAC |
| 2026_05_DET_ARI | 2026 | 5 | ARI | DET | 0.496 | 0.503 | DET |
| 2026_05_HOU_TEN | 2026 | 5 | TEN | HOU | 0.527 | 0.473 | TEN |
| 2026_05_IND_PIT | 2026 | 5 | PIT | IND | 0.542 | 0.458 | PIT |
| 2026_05_LV_NE | 2026 | 5 | NE | LV | 0.697 | 0.303 | NE |
| 2026_05_MIN_NO | 2026 | 5 | NO | MIN | 0.581 | 0.419 | NO |
| 2026_05_NYG_WAS | 2026 | 5 | WAS | NYG | 0.642 | 0.358 | WAS |
| 2026_05_PHI_JAX | 2026 | 5 | JAX | PHI | 0.385 | 0.615 | PHI |
| 2026_05_SF_SEA | 2026 | 5 | SEA | SF | 0.547 | 0.453 | SEA |
| 2026_05_TB_DAL | 2026 | 5 | DAL | TB | 0.528 | 0.472 | DAL |
| 2026_06_ARI_LA | 2026 | 6 | LA | ARI | 0.713 | 0.287 | LA |
| 2026_06_BAL_CLE | 2026 | 6 | CLE | BAL | 0.340 | 0.660 | BAL |
| 2026_06_BUF_LV | 2026 | 6 | LV | BUF | 0.232 | 0.768 | BUF |
| 2026_06_CAR_PHI | 2026 | 6 | PHI | CAR | 0.810 | 0.190 | PHI |
| 2026_06_CHI_ATL | 2026 | 6 | ATL | CHI | 0.570 | 0.430 | ATL |
| 2026_06_DAL_GB | 2026 | 6 | GB | DAL | 0.604 | 0.396 | GB |
| 2026_06_HOU_JAX | 2026 | 6 | JAX | HOU | 0.543 | 0.457 | JAX |
| 2026_06_LAC_KC | 2026 | 6 | KC | LAC | 0.694 | 0.306 | KC |
| 2026_06_NO_NYG | 2026 | 6 | NYG | NO | 0.378 | 0.622 | NO |
| 2026_06_NYJ_NE | 2026 | 6 | NE | NYJ | 0.779 | 0.221 | NE |
| 2026_06_PIT_TB | 2026 | 6 | TB | PIT | 0.686 | 0.314 | TB |
| 2026_06_SEA_DEN | 2026 | 6 | DEN | SEA | 0.469 | 0.531 | SEA |
| 2026_06_TEN_IND | 2026 | 6 | IND | TEN | 0.665 | 0.335 | IND |
| 2026_06_WAS_SF | 2026 | 6 | SF | WAS | 0.746 | 0.254 | SF |
| 2026_07_CIN_BAL | 2026 | 7 | BAL | CIN | 0.706 | 0.294 | BAL |
| 2026_07_CLE_TEN | 2026 | 7 | TEN | CLE | 0.556 | 0.444 | TEN |
| 2026_07_DAL_PHI | 2026 | 7 | PHI | DAL | 0.607 | 0.393 | PHI |
| 2026_07_DEN_ARI | 2026 | 7 | ARI | DEN | 0.519 | 0.481 | ARI |
| 2026_07_GB_DET | 2026 | 7 | DET | GB | 0.493 | 0.507 | GB |
| 2026_07_IND_MIN | 2026 | 7 | MIN | IND | 0.570 | 0.430 | MIN |
| 2026_07_KC_SEA | 2026 | 7 | SEA | KC | 0.517 | 0.483 | SEA |
| 2026_07_LA_LV | 2026 | 7 | LV | LA | 0.367 | 0.633 | LA |
| 2026_07_MIA_NYJ | 2026 | 7 | NYJ | MIA | 0.347 | 0.653 | MIA |
| 2026_07_NE_CHI | 2026 | 7 | CHI | NE | 0.477 | 0.522 | NE |
| 2026_07_NYG_HOU | 2026 | 7 | HOU | NYG | 0.671 | 0.329 | HOU |
| 2026_07_PIT_NO | 2026 | 7 | NO | PIT | 0.608 | 0.392 | NO |
| 2026_07_SF_ATL | 2026 | 7 | ATL | SF | 0.385 | 0.615 | SF |
| 2026_07_TB_CAR | 2026 | 7 | CAR | TB | 0.298 | 0.702 | TB |
| 2026_08_ARI_DAL | 2026 | 8 | DAL | ARI | 0.699 | 0.301 | DAL |
| 2026_08_ATL_TB | 2026 | 8 | TB | ATL | 0.748 | 0.252 | TB |
| 2026_08_BAL_BUF | 2026 | 8 | BUF | BAL | 0.637 | 0.363 | BUF |
| 2026_08_CAR_GB | 2026 | 8 | GB | CAR | 0.811 | 0.189 | GB |
| 2026_08_CHI_SEA | 2026 | 8 | SEA | CHI | 0.720 | 0.280 | SEA |
| 2026_08_CLE_PIT | 2026 | 8 | PIT | CLE | 0.649 | 0.351 | PIT |
| 2026_08_IND_JAX | 2026 | 8 | JAX | IND | 0.485 | 0.515 | IND |
| 2026_08_KC_DEN | 2026 | 8 | DEN | KC | 0.419 | 0.581 | KC |
| 2026_08_LAC_LA | 2026 | 8 | LA | LAC | 0.650 | 0.350 | LA |
| 2026_08_LV_NYJ | 2026 | 8 | NYJ | LV | 0.482 | 0.518 | LV |
| 2026_08_MIN_DET | 2026 | 8 | DET | MIN | 0.597 | 0.403 | DET |
| 2026_08_NE_MIA | 2026 | 8 | MIA | NE | 0.564 | 0.436 | MIA |
| 2026_08_PHI_WAS | 2026 | 8 | WAS | PHI | 0.383 | 0.617 | PHI |
| 2026_08_TEN_CIN | 2026 | 8 | CIN | TEN | 0.676 | 0.324 | CIN |
| 2026_09_ARI_SEA | 2026 | 9 | SEA | ARI | 0.712 | 0.288 | SEA |
| 2026_09_BUF_MIN | 2026 | 9 | MIN | BUF | 0.349 | 0.651 | BUF |
| 2026_09_CIN_ATL | 2026 | 9 | ATL | CIN | 0.473 | 0.527 | CIN |
| 2026_09_CLE_NO | 2026 | 9 | NO | CLE | 0.674 | 0.326 | NO |
| 2026_09_DAL_IND | 2026 | 9 | IND | DAL | 0.511 | 0.489 | IND |
| 2026_09_DEN_CAR | 2026 | 9 | CAR | DEN | 0.416 | 0.584 | DEN |
| 2026_09_DET_MIA | 2026 | 9 | MIA | DET | 0.552 | 0.448 | MIA |
| 2026_09_GB_NE | 2026 | 9 | NE | GB | 0.478 | 0.522 | GB |
| 2026_09_HOU_LAC | 2026 | 9 | LAC | HOU | 0.634 | 0.365 | LAC |
| 2026_09_JAX_BAL | 2026 | 9 | BAL | JAX | 0.783 | 0.217 | BAL |
| 2026_09_LA_WAS | 2026 | 9 | WAS | LA | 0.396 | 0.604 | LA |
| 2026_09_LV_SF | 2026 | 9 | SF | LV | 0.771 | 0.229 | SF |
| 2026_09_NYG_PHI | 2026 | 9 | PHI | NYG | 0.808 | 0.192 | PHI |
| 2026_09_NYJ_KC | 2026 | 9 | KC | NYJ | 0.862 | 0.138 | KC |
| 2026_09_TB_CHI | 2026 | 9 | CHI | TB | 0.383 | 0.617 | TB |
| 2026_10_BUF_NYJ | 2026 | 10 | NYJ | BUF | 0.171 | 0.829 | BUF |
| 2026_10_CAR_NO | 2026 | 10 | NO | CAR | 0.749 | 0.252 | NO |
| 2026_10_HOU_CLE | 2026 | 10 | CLE | HOU | 0.545 | 0.455 | CLE |
| 2026_10_JAX_TEN | 2026 | 10 | TEN | JAX | 0.565 | 0.435 | TEN |
| 2026_10_KC_ATL | 2026 | 10 | ATL | KC | 0.338 | 0.662 | KC |
| 2026_10_LAC_BAL | 2026 | 10 | BAL | LAC | 0.714 | 0.286 | BAL |
| 2026_10_LA_ARI | 2026 | 10 | ARI | LA | 0.438 | 0.562 | LA |
| 2026_10_MIA_IND | 2026 | 10 | IND | MIA | 0.567 | 0.433 | IND |
| 2026_10_MIN_GB | 2026 | 10 | GB | MIN | 0.666 | 0.334 | GB |
| 2026_10_NE_DET | 2026 | 10 | DET | NE | 0.577 | 0.423 | DET |
| 2026_10_PIT_CIN | 2026 | 10 | CIN | PIT | 0.591 | 0.409 | CIN |
| 2026_10_SEA_LV | 2026 | 10 | LV | SEA | 0.363 | 0.637 | SEA |
| 2026_10_SF_DAL | 2026 | 10 | DAL | SF | 0.538 | 0.462 | DAL |
| 2026_10_WAS_NYG | 2026 | 10 | NYG | WAS | 0.498 | 0.502 | WAS |
| 2026_11_ARI_KC | 2026 | 11 | KC | ARI | 0.763 | 0.236 | KC |
| 2026_11_BAL_CAR | 2026 | 11 | CAR | BAL | 0.262 | 0.738 | BAL |
| 2026_11_CIN_WAS | 2026 | 11 | WAS | CIN | 0.464 | 0.536 | CIN |
| 2026_11_IND_HOU | 2026 | 11 | HOU | IND | 0.498 | 0.502 | IND |
| 2026_11_JAX_NYG | 2026 | 11 | NYG | JAX | 0.475 | 0.525 | JAX |
| 2026_11_LV_DEN | 2026 | 11 | DEN | LV | 0.671 | 0.329 | DEN |
| 2026_11_MIA_BUF | 2026 | 11 | BUF | MIA | 0.774 | 0.226 | BUF |
| 2026_11_MIN_SF | 2026 | 11 | SF | MIN | 0.667 | 0.333 | SF |
| 2026_11_NO_CHI | 2026 | 11 | CHI | NO | 0.460 | 0.540 | NO |
| 2026_11_NYJ_LAC | 2026 | 11 | LAC | NYJ | 0.772 | 0.228 | LAC |
| 2026_11_PIT_PHI | 2026 | 11 | PHI | PIT | 0.671 | 0.329 | PHI |
| 2026_11_TB_DET | 2026 | 11 | DET | TB | 0.480 | 0.520 | TB |
| 2026_11_TEN_DAL | 2026 | 11 | DAL | TEN | 0.721 | 0.280 | DAL |
| 2026_12_ATL_MIN | 2026 | 12 | MIN | ATL | 0.659 | 0.341 | MIN |
| 2026_12_BAL_HOU | 2026 | 12 | HOU | BAL | 0.359 | 0.641 | BAL |
| 2026_12_CAR_TB | 2026 | 12 | TB | CAR | 0.814 | 0.186 | TB |
| 2026_12_CHI_DET | 2026 | 12 | DET | CHI | 0.667 | 0.333 | DET |
| 2026_12_DEN_PIT | 2026 | 12 | PIT | DEN | 0.571 | 0.429 | PIT |
| 2026_12_GB_LA | 2026 | 12 | LA | GB | 0.547 | 0.453 | LA |
| 2026_12_KC_BUF | 2026 | 12 | BUF | KC | 0.664 | 0.336 | BUF |
| 2026_12_LV_CLE | 2026 | 12 | CLE | LV | 0.608 | 0.392 | CLE |
| 2026_12_NE_LAC | 2026 | 12 | LAC | NE | 0.558 | 0.442 | LAC |
| 2026_12_NO_CIN | 2026 | 12 | CIN | NO | 0.548 | 0.452 | CIN |
| 2026_12_NYG_IND | 2026 | 12 | IND | NYG | 0.732 | 0.268 | IND |
| 2026_12_NYJ_MIA | 2026 | 12 | MIA | NYJ | 0.766 | 0.234 | MIA |
| 2026_12_PHI_DAL | 2026 | 12 | DAL | PHI | 0.530 | 0.470 | DAL |
| 2026_12_SEA_SF | 2026 | 12 | SF | SEA | 0.589 | 0.411 | SF |
| 2026_12_TEN_JAX | 2026 | 12 | JAX | TEN | 0.588 | 0.412 | JAX |
| 2026_12_WAS_ARI | 2026 | 12 | ARI | WAS | 0.595 | 0.406 | ARI |
| 2026_13_BUF_NE | 2026 | 13 | NE | BUF | 0.341 | 0.659 | BUF |
| 2026_13_CAR_MIN | 2026 | 13 | MIN | CAR | 0.730 | 0.270 | MIN |
| 2026_13_CIN_CLE | 2026 | 13 | CLE | CIN | 0.469 | 0.531 | CIN |
| 2026_13_DAL_SEA | 2026 | 13 | SEA | DAL | 0.588 | 0.412 | SEA |
| 2026_13_DET_ATL | 2026 | 13 | ATL | DET | 0.463 | 0.537 | DET |
| 2026_13_GB_NO | 2026 | 13 | NO | GB | 0.490 | 0.510 | GB |
| 2026_13_HOU_PIT | 2026 | 13 | PIT | HOU | 0.614 | 0.387 | PIT |
| 2026_13_JAX_CHI | 2026 | 13 | CHI | JAX | 0.573 | 0.427 | CHI |
| 2026_13_KC_LA | 2026 | 13 | LA | KC | 0.506 | 0.494 | LA |
| 2026_13_LAC_TB | 2026 | 13 | TB | LAC | 0.660 | 0.340 | TB |
| 2026_13_MIA_DEN | 2026 | 13 | DEN | MIA | 0.552 | 0.448 | DEN |
| 2026_13_PHI_ARI | 2026 | 13 | ARI | PHI | 0.405 | 0.595 | PHI |
| 2026_13_SF_NYG | 2026 | 13 | NYG | SF | 0.314 | 0.686 | SF |
| 2026_13_WAS_TEN | 2026 | 13 | TEN | WAS | 0.559 | 0.441 | TEN |
| 2026_14_ATL_CLE | 2026 | 14 | CLE | ATL | 0.570 | 0.430 | CLE |
| 2026_14_BUF_GB | 2026 | 14 | GB | BUF | 0.443 | 0.557 | BUF |
| 2026_14_CHI_MIA | 2026 | 14 | MIA | CHI | 0.644 | 0.356 | MIA |
| 2026_14_DEN_NYJ | 2026 | 14 | NYJ | DEN | 0.364 | 0.635 | DEN |
| 2026_14_HOU_WAS | 2026 | 14 | WAS | HOU | 0.543 | 0.457 | WAS |
| 2026_14_IND_PHI | 2026 | 14 | PHI | IND | 0.663 | 0.337 | PHI |
| 2026_14_KC_CIN | 2026 | 14 | CIN | KC | 0.440 | 0.560 | KC |
| 2026_14_LAC_LV | 2026 | 14 | LV | LAC | 0.446 | 0.554 | LAC |
| 2026_14_LA_SF | 2026 | 14 | SF | LA | 0.596 | 0.404 | SF |
| 2026_14_MIN_NE | 2026 | 14 | NE | MIN | 0.580 | 0.420 | NE |
| 2026_14_NO_CAR | 2026 | 14 | CAR | NO | 0.373 | 0.627 | NO |
| 2026_14_NYG_SEA | 2026 | 14 | SEA | NYG | 0.794 | 0.206 | SEA |
| 2026_14_PIT_JAX | 2026 | 14 | JAX | PIT | 0.502 | 0.498 | JAX |
| 2026_14_TB_BAL | 2026 | 14 | BAL | TB | 0.614 | 0.387 | BAL |
| 2026_14_TEN_DET | 2026 | 14 | DET | TEN | 0.682 | 0.318 | DET |
| 2026_15_ATL_WAS | 2026 | 15 | WAS | ATL | 0.572 | 0.428 | WAS |
| 2026_15_BAL_PIT | 2026 | 15 | PIT | BAL | 0.408 | 0.592 | BAL |
| 2026_15_CHI_BUF | 2026 | 15 | BUF | CHI | 0.827 | 0.173 | BUF |
| 2026_15_CIN_CAR | 2026 | 15 | CAR | CIN | 0.385 | 0.615 | CIN |
| 2026_15_CLE_NYG | 2026 | 15 | NYG | CLE | 0.487 | 0.513 | CLE |
| 2026_15_DAL_LA | 2026 | 15 | LA | DAL | 0.580 | 0.420 | LA |
| 2026_15_DEN_LV | 2026 | 15 | LV | DEN | 0.450 | 0.550 | DEN |
| 2026_15_DET_MIN | 2026 | 15 | MIN | DET | 0.549 | 0.451 | MIN |
| 2026_15_IND_TEN | 2026 | 15 | TEN | IND | 0.469 | 0.531 | IND |
| 2026_15_JAX_HOU | 2026 | 15 | HOU | JAX | 0.595 | 0.405 | HOU |
| 2026_15_MIA_GB | 2026 | 15 | GB | MIA | 0.667 | 0.333 | GB |
| 2026_15_NE_KC | 2026 | 15 | KC | NE | 0.700 | 0.300 | KC |
| 2026_15_NO_TB | 2026 | 15 | TB | NO | 0.641 | 0.359 | TB |
| 2026_15_NYJ_ARI | 2026 | 15 | ARI | NYJ | 0.714 | 0.286 | ARI |
| 2026_15_SEA_PHI | 2026 | 15 | PHI | SEA | 0.600 | 0.400 | PHI |
| 2026_15_SF_LAC | 2026 | 15 | LAC | SF | 0.468 | 0.532 | SF |
| 2026_16_ARI_NO | 2026 | 16 | NO | ARI | 0.656 | 0.344 | NO |
| 2026_16_BUF_DEN | 2026 | 16 | DEN | BUF | 0.326 | 0.674 | BUF |
| 2026_16_CAR_PIT | 2026 | 16 | PIT | CAR | 0.715 | 0.285 | PIT |
| 2026_16_CIN_IND | 2026 | 16 | IND | CIN | 0.560 | 0.440 | IND |
| 2026_16_CLE_BAL | 2026 | 16 | BAL | CLE | 0.781 | 0.219 | BAL |
| 2026_16_GB_CHI | 2026 | 16 | CHI | GB | 0.376 | 0.625 | GB |
| 2026_16_HOU_PHI | 2026 | 16 | PHI | HOU | 0.717 | 0.283 | PHI |
| 2026_16_JAX_DAL | 2026 | 16 | DAL | JAX | 0.716 | 0.284 | DAL |
| 2026_16_LAC_MIA | 2026 | 16 | MIA | LAC | 0.568 | 0.432 | MIA |
| 2026_16_LA_SEA | 2026 | 16 | SEA | LA | 0.571 | 0.429 | SEA |
| 2026_16_NE_NYJ | 2026 | 16 | NYJ | NE | 0.334 | 0.666 | NE |
| 2026_16_NYG_DET | 2026 | 16 | DET | NYG | 0.744 | 0.257 | DET |
| 2026_16_SF_KC | 2026 | 16 | KC | SF | 0.601 | 0.399 | KC |
| 2026_16_TB_ATL | 2026 | 16 | ATL | TB | 0.375 | 0.625 | TB |
| 2026_16_TEN_LV | 2026 | 16 | LV | TEN | 0.539 | 0.461 | LV |
| 2026_16_WAS_MIN | 2026 | 16 | MIN | WAS | 0.659 | 0.341 | MIN |
| 2026_17_BAL_CIN | 2026 | 17 | CIN | BAL | 0.427 | 0.573 | BAL |
| 2026_17_BUF_MIA | 2026 | 17 | MIA | BUF | 0.344 | 0.656 | BUF |
| 2026_17_DEN_NE | 2026 | 17 | NE | DEN | 0.603 | 0.397 | NE |
| 2026_17_DET_CHI | 2026 | 17 | CHI | DET | 0.458 | 0.542 | DET |
| 2026_17_HOU_GB | 2026 | 17 | GB | HOU | 0.725 | 0.275 | GB |
| 2026_17_IND_CLE | 2026 | 17 | CLE | IND | 0.468 | 0.532 | IND |
| 2026_17_KC_LAC | 2026 | 17 | LAC | KC | 0.439 | 0.561 | KC |
| 2026_17_LA_TB | 2026 | 17 | TB | LA | 0.595 | 0.405 | TB |
| 2026_17_LV_ARI | 2026 | 17 | ARI | LV | 0.626 | 0.374 | ARI |
| 2026_17_MIN_NYJ | 2026 | 17 | NYJ | MIN | 0.346 | 0.654 | MIN |
| 2026_17_NO_ATL | 2026 | 17 | ATL | NO | 0.460 | 0.540 | NO |
| 2026_17_NYG_DAL | 2026 | 17 | DAL | NYG | 0.773 | 0.227 | DAL |
| 2026_17_PHI_SF | 2026 | 17 | SF | PHI | 0.568 | 0.432 | SF |
| 2026_17_PIT_TEN | 2026 | 17 | TEN | PIT | 0.490 | 0.510 | PIT |
| 2026_17_SEA_CAR | 2026 | 17 | CAR | SEA | 0.315 | 0.685 | SEA |
| 2026_17_WAS_JAX | 2026 | 17 | JAX | WAS | 0.570 | 0.430 | JAX |
| 2026_18_ATL_CAR | 2026 | 18 | CAR | ATL | 0.485 | 0.515 | ATL |
| 2026_18_CHI_MIN | 2026 | 18 | MIN | CHI | 0.652 | 0.348 | MIN |
| 2026_18_CLE_CIN | 2026 | 18 | CIN | CLE | 0.660 | 0.340 | CIN |
| 2026_18_DAL_WAS | 2026 | 18 | WAS | DAL | 0.418 | 0.582 | DAL |
| 2026_18_DET_GB | 2026 | 18 | GB | DET | 0.654 | 0.346 | GB |
| 2026_18_JAX_IND | 2026 | 18 | IND | JAX | 0.661 | 0.339 | IND |
| 2026_18_LAC_DEN | 2026 | 18 | DEN | LAC | 0.552 | 0.448 | DEN |
| 2026_18_LV_KC | 2026 | 18 | KC | LV | 0.806 | 0.194 | KC |
| 2026_18_MIA_NE | 2026 | 18 | NE | MIA | 0.575 | 0.425 | NE |
| 2026_18_NYJ_BUF | 2026 | 18 | BUF | NYJ | 0.906 | 0.094 | BUF |
| 2026_18_PHI_NYG | 2026 | 18 | NYG | PHI | 0.312 | 0.688 | PHI |
| 2026_18_PIT_BAL | 2026 | 18 | BAL | PIT | 0.727 | 0.273 | BAL |
| 2026_18_SEA_LA | 2026 | 18 | LA | SEA | 0.562 | 0.438 | LA |
| 2026_18_SF_ARI | 2026 | 18 | ARI | SF | 0.404 | 0.597 | SF |
| 2026_18_TB_NO | 2026 | 18 | NO | TB | 0.490 | 0.510 | TB |
| 2026_18_TEN_HOU | 2026 | 18 | HOU | TEN | 0.615 | 0.385 | HOU |
Playoffs predicted if expected wins are achieved
AFC
| seed | team | division | seed_type | wins_mean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUF | East | division_winner | 12.21 |
| 2 | BAL | North | division_winner | 11.12 |
| 3 | KC | West | division_winner | 10.77 |
| 4 | IND | South | division_winner | 8.87 |
| 5 | CIN | North | wildcard | 8.83 |
| 6 | NE | East | wildcard | 8.56 |
| 7 | PIT | North | wildcard | 8.31 |
NFC
| seed | team | division | seed_type | wins_mean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PHI | East | division_winner | 10.87 |
| 2 | TB | South | division_winner | 10.48 |
| 3 | GB | North | division_winner | 10.37 |
| 4 | SF | West | division_winner | 10.21 |
| 5 | SEA | West | wildcard | 10.01 |
| 6 | DAL | East | wildcard | 9.59 |
| 7 | NO | South | wildcard | 9.51 |
Current format: 7 teams per conference (4 division champions + 3 wildcards), with the #1 seed receiving a bye in the Wild Card round. Here we only show the seeds based on expected wins, without applying advanced tiebreakers.